The coronavirus is certainly scary, but despite the constant reporting on total cases and a climbing death toll, the reality is that the vast majority of people who come down with COVID-19 survive it. Just as the number of cases grows, so does another number: those who have recovered.
In mid-March, the number of patients in the U.S. who had officially recovered from the virus was close to zero. That number is nowin the tens of thousandsand is climbing every day. But recovering from COVID-19 is more complicated than simply feeling better. Recovery involves biology, epidemiology and a little bit of bureaucracy too.
How does your body fight off COVID-19?
Once a person is exposed the coronavirus, the body starts producingproteins called antibodies to fight the infection. As theseantibodies start to successfully contain the virusand keep it from replicating in the body, symptoms usually begin to lessen and you start to feel better. Eventually, if all goes well, your immune system will completely destroy all of the virus in your system. A person who was infected with and survived a virus with no long-term health effects or disabilities has “recovered.”
On average, a person who is infected with SARS-CoV-2 will feel ill for about seven days from the onset of symptoms. Even after symptoms disappear, there still may be small amounts of the virus in a patient’s system, and they should stayisolated for an additional three daysto ensure they have trulyrecovered and are no longer infectious.
What about immunity?
In general, once you have recovered from a viral infection, your body will keep cells called lymphocytes in your system. These cells “remember” viruses they’ve previously seen and can react quickly to fight them off again. If you are exposed to a virus you have already had, your antibodies will likely stop the virus before it starts causing symptoms.You become immune. This is theprinciple behind many vaccines.
Unfortunately, immunity isn’t perfect. For many viruses, like mumps, immunity can wane over time, leaving yoususceptible to the virus in the future. This is why you need to get revaccinated – those “booster shots” – occasionally: to prompt your immune system to make more antibodies and memory cells.
Since this coronavirus is so new, scientists still don’t know whether people who recover from COVID-19 areimmune to future infections of the virus. Doctors are finding antibodies in ill and recovered patients, andthat indicates the development of immunity. But the question remains how long that immunity will last. Other coronaviruses likeSARS and MERS produce an immune responsethat will protect a person at least for a short time. I would suspect the same is true of SARS-CoV-2, but the research simply hasn’t been done yet to say so definitively.
Why have so few people officially recovered in the US?
This is a dangerous virus, so the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is being extremely careful when deciding what it means to recover from COVID-19. Both medical and testing criteria must be met before a person isofficially declared recovered.
Medically, a person must be fever-free without fever-reducing medications for three consecutive days. They must show an improvement in their other symptoms, including reduced coughing and shortness of breath. And it must be at least seven full dayssince the symptoms began.
In addition to those requirements, the CDC guidelines say that a person must test negative for the coronavirus twice, with thetests taken at least 24 hours apart.
Only then, if both the symptom and testing conditions are met, is a person officially considered recovered by the CDC.
This second testing requirement is likely why there were so few official recovered cases in the U.S. until late March. Initially, there was amassive shortage of testing in the U.S.So while many people were certainly recovering over the last few weeks, this could not be officially confirmed. As the country enters the height of the pandemic in the coming weeks, focus is still ontesting those who are infected, not those who have likely recovered.
Many more people are being tested now that states and private companies have begunproducing and distributing tests. Asthe number of available tests increasesand the pandemic eventually slows in the country, more testing will be available for those who have appeared to recover. As people who have already recovered are tested, the appearance of any new infections will help researchers learnhow long immunity can be expected to last.
Once a person has recovered, what can they do?
Knowing whether or not people are immune to COVID-19 after they recover is going to determine what individuals, communities and society at large can do going forward. If scientists can show that recovered patients are immune to the coronavirus, then a person who has recovered could in theoryhelp support the health care systemby caring for those who are infected.
Once communities pass the peak of the epidemic, the number of new infections will decline, while the number ofrecovered people will increase. As these trends continue, the risk of transmission will fall. Once the risk of transmission has fallen enough, community-level isolation and social distancing orders will begin to relax and businesses will start to reopen. Based on what other countries have gone through, it will bemonths until the risk of transmission is lowin the U.S.
But before any of this can happen, the U.S. and the world need to make it through the peak of this pandemic. Social distancing works to slow the spread of infectious diseases and is working for COVID-19. Many people will need medical help to recover, and social distancing will slow this virus down and give people the best chance to do so.